Ryvyl Inc Stock Performance

RVYL Stock  USD 5.52  0.17  2.99%   
The company holds a Beta of 2.01, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ryvyl will likely underperform. At this point, Ryvyl Inc has a negative expected return of -0.61%. Please make sure to check Ryvyl's potential upside and day median price , to decide if Ryvyl Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ryvyl Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.99)
Five Day Return
(7.69)
Year To Date Return
(3.66)
Ten Year Return
(93.43)
All Time Return
(97.81)
Last Split Factor
1:10
Last Split Date
2023-09-07
1
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Begin Period Cash Flow73.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.8 M

Ryvyl Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  992.00  in Ryvyl Inc on November 24, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (440.00) from holding Ryvyl Inc or give up 44.35% of portfolio value over 90 days. Ryvyl Inc is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 8.6483% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 77% of stocks are less volatile than Ryvyl, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ryvyl is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 11.69 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Ryvyl Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ryvyl Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.52 90 days 5.52 
about 80.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ryvyl to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.42 (This Ryvyl Inc probability density function shows the probability of Ryvyl Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.01 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ryvyl will likely underperform. Additionally Ryvyl Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ryvyl Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ryvyl

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ryvyl Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ryvyl's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.285.5714.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.204.0212.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.115.3114.04
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.502.753.05
Details

Ryvyl Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ryvyl is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ryvyl's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ryvyl Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ryvyl within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.73
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.01
σ
Overall volatility
2.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Ryvyl Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ryvyl for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ryvyl Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ryvyl Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ryvyl Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ryvyl Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 56 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.73 M.
Ryvyl Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
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Ryvyl Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ryvyl Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ryvyl's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ryvyl's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding191.3 K
Cash And Short Term Investments2.6 M

Ryvyl Fundamentals Growth

Ryvyl Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ryvyl, and Ryvyl fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ryvyl Stock performance.

About Ryvyl Performance

By examining Ryvyl's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Ryvyl's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Ryvyl is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 5.91  6.21 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.30)(0.29)
Return On Capital Employed(1.28)(1.22)
Return On Assets(0.25)(0.24)
Return On Equity 16.18  16.99 

Things to note about Ryvyl Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ryvyl for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ryvyl Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ryvyl Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ryvyl Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ryvyl Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 56 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.73 M.
Ryvyl Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
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Evaluating Ryvyl's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ryvyl's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ryvyl's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ryvyl's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ryvyl's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ryvyl's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ryvyl's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ryvyl's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ryvyl's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ryvyl's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ryvyl's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Ryvyl Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ryvyl's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ryvyl's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ryvyl Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ryvyl Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ryvyl. Anticipated expansion of Ryvyl directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Ryvyl assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share
(2.02)
Revenue Per Share
5.895
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Return On Assets
(0.07)
Return On Equity
(20.98)
The market value of Ryvyl Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ryvyl that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ryvyl's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ryvyl's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ryvyl's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ryvyl's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Ryvyl's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ryvyl should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Ryvyl's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.